Lucchese Libertas vs AS Sestese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 4
ASL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACS
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASL
4 - 0
FOR
80%
14%
6%
|
58 | 26 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 3
ASL
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AS Sestese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 0
RIE
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ORV
0 - 1
ASS
37%
25%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ASD
2 - 2
ASS
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 1
APC
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |