Lucchese Libertas vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 1
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAS
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 3
ASL
39%
28%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 0
NOV
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 2
PIS
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NOV
0 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CTT
3 - 0
ACL
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PAD
3 - 1
CTT
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
SPA
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |