Lucchese Libertas vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASL
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACL
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
MON
2 - 1
ASL
18%
24%
58%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 1
SIE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ASL
2 - 1
SPA
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 1
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LIV
1 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CTT
1 - 0
COM
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 0
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
USC
1 - 1
CTT
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |