Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability

1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.1%
Win probability

1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

+2%
-33%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
7º
17º
9º
59
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
77 | 77 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
59 | 59 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
![]() |
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
![]() |
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
12º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
41 | 41 |
15º
|
100% | |
![]() |
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
![]() |
17º
|
37 | 37 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
35 | 35 |
18º
|
0% | |
![]() |
19º
|
35 | 35 |
19º
|
0% | |
![]() |
20º
|
28 | 28 |
20º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
![]() 0 - 0
![]() ASL
34%
29%
38%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
19 Feb. 2023 |
ASL
![]() 3 - 0
![]() VIS
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
12 Feb. 2023 |
ASL
![]() 1 - 3
![]() REC
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
04 Feb. 2023 |
SAS
![]() 1 - 1
![]() ASL
37%
30%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
31 Jan. 2023 |
ASL
![]() 0 - 0
![]() SDT
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 Feb. 2023 |
ANC
![]() 0 - 3
![]() ACD
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
19 Feb. 2023 |
ANC
![]() 1 - 1
![]() OLB
68%
20%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
12 Feb. 2023 |
FER
![]() 2 - 1
![]() ANC
24%
26%
51%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
04 Feb. 2023 |
ANC
![]() 2 - 1
![]() REG
37%
28%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
31 Jan. 2023 |
MON
![]() 1 - 2
![]() ANC
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |