Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
TER
4 - 3
ASL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ASL
3 - 0
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 2
ASL
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 1
PIS
28%
28%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
GRO
1 - 1
ASL
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ANC
1 - 1
ACP
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 1
ANC
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ASG
0 - 2
ANC
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 3
SPA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
ANC
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |