Lucchese Libertas vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
COM
2 - 1
ASL
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
ASL
0 - 1
VER
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
ACI
3 - 0
ASL
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 3
UDI
28%
28%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
VIC
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
COS
0 - 1
ANC
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
COM
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
ATL
0 - 0
ANC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |