Lucchese Libertas vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASL
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SAS
1 - 1
ASL
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACP
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
REG
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
PAV
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
RIM
0 - 0
PAV
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAV
0 - 0
PIS
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |