Lucchese Libertas vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PAD
0 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
MAS
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRO
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SAS
2 - 0
ASL
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
ASL
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 0
PIS
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRO
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
34%
27%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
GRO
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
USI
1 - 2
ASS
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |