Lucchese Libertas vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ARZ
0 - 3
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASL
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 0
LIV
31%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
ASL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
2 - 0
TRE
28%
27%
44%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
VAR
39%
29%
32%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 0
ASS
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
ASS
1 - 2
CAR
48%
27%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
0 - 0
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |