Lucchese Libertas vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
ACS
0 - 1
ASL
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
GRO
0 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ASL
1 - 0
COM
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 0
SAS
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FIA
0 - 1
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FRO
1 - 1
MAN
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
ACP
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |