Lucchese Libertas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
1 - 0
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
LIV
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
PON
3 - 2
ASL
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ASL
1 - 4
SIE
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 0
ASL
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 2
PIA
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PIS
1 - 0
ARZ
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
4 - 2
GER
37%
27%
35%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
ARZ
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |