Lucchese Libertas vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
46.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
POT
2 - 2
ASL
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAS
54%
24%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASL
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
GAL
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ARZ
2 - 0
MAR
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GAL
2 - 1
ARZ
27%
28%
46%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ARZ
0 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PES
2 - 0
ARZ
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ARZ
2 - 0
VIR
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |