Lucero-Linces vs Rayo Serranillos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CDP
4 - 5
LUL
47%
22%
32%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
LUL
0 - 0
PEU
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ATC
2 - 1
LUL
63%
19%
18%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LUL
2 - 3
YSB
43%
22%
36%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
VDP
6 - 2
LUL
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Serranillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
RSE
1 - 0
CAN
50%
21%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 0
RSE
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
RSE
2 - 0
VMT
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
PIQ
3 - 1
RSE
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CDP
2 - 2
RSE
21%
19%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |