Lucero-Linces vs Orcasitas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LUL
3 - 2
LAA
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 3
LUL
68%
18%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 2
EFC
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FPG
1 - 1
LUL
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LUL
2 - 2
MDE
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Orcasitas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
ORC
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 3
FPG
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MBP
0 - 1
ORC
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 4
LEG
10%
16%
74%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CFM
5 - 0
ORC
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |