Luceni CF vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ATE
1 - 2
LUC
27%
20%
52%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUC
5 - 2
TOR
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
LUC
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAU
4 - 2
LUC
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LUC
2 - 0
NOV
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HER
4 - 1
ATE
62%
19%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
BOQ
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
HER
46%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
TAU
34%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |