Luceni CF vs Herrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
52.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
1 - 4
LUC
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
EMB
53%
21%
26%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
OLV
3 - 0
LUC
44%
23%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 0
EUR
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
LUC
84%
10%
6%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
MAG
51%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AGR
2 - 2
HER
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
BOQ
43%
23%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAD
4 - 1
HER
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
ATC
24%
21%
55%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |