Luceni CF vs Bardena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luceni CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LUN
2 - 6
LUC
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 5
LUC
42%
21%
37%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 4
LUC
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
LUC
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LUC
1 - 1
BOQ
17%
20%
63%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bardena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LUN
2 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
5%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 5
ALE
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
UNC
2 - 2
BAR
55%
19%
26%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BIO
2 - 0
BAR
80%
12%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUN
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |