Lucena vs Xerez B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAI
3 - 1
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
POZ
50%
26%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
CAB
2 - 4
LUC
33%
28%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
CRD
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
XRZ
1 - 3
BAR
17%
22%
61%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 1
XRZ
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2006 |
XRZ
1 - 2
PAL
25%
25%
50%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
JER
3 - 0
XRZ
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
XRZ
0 - 1
AYA
22%
24%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |