Lucena vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ECI
2 - 0
LUC
66%
19%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 2
CDG
38%
25%
36%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 1
COR
43%
25%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
ARC
48%
24%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
UTR
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
5 - 0
UTR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
1 - 2
SEV
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
UTR
4 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |