Lucena vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ALG
2 - 1
LUC
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
21%
26%
53%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SAN
6 - 5
LUC
76%
17%
7%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
UDR
0 - 0
LUC
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
LUC
0 - 0
DHE
40%
27%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
3 - 0
BAL
54%
25%
21%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SFE
1 - 0
UTR
68%
20%
12%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 2
CAD
65%
20%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
UTR
1 - 1
BEN
32%
29%
40%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
ELC
3 - 1
UTR
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |