Lucena vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ROD
2 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
RJA
27%
31%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BET
6 - 0
LUC
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAD
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
LUC
61%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
BAL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 1
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
ALM
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SRQ
2 - 3
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |