Lucena vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JER
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 2
CIU
46%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
28%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
ECI
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 1
MAR
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
SEV
0 - 0
MAR
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
EST
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
RJA
3 - 2
MAR
51%
29%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |