Lucena vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
25.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
2 - 1
LUC
81%
14%
5%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 2
BET
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 0
GRA
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
ECI
28%
28%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
PUE
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDL
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 2
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 3
SFE
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |