Lucena vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
LUC
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ROD
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
73%
18%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
BET
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UCA
1 - 0
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
UCA
2 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 0
UCA
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
UCA
2 - 2
SRQ
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 1
UCA
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |