Lucena vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BET
3 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
VIL
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUC
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 3
CPC
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
ALM
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 2
ECI
25%
26%
50%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
UCA
78%
16%
7%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 1
CPC
23%
26%
50%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 0
CAD
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
BET
2 - 2
UCA
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |