Lucena vs Lebrijana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CON
23%
24%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SRO
2 - 0
LUC
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CEU
2 - 0
LUC
74%
18%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CRD
7%
17%
76%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lebrijana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LEB
1 - 1
ARC
41%
26%
34%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
LEB
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEB
2 - 0
UTR
46%
25%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 1
LEB
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEB
1 - 3
CAS
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |