Lucena vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
LUC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 3
G74
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ROQ
3 - 0
LUC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 3
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 3
LUC
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
UBC
2 - 1
PUE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
AGD
3 - 0
UBC
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UBC
3 - 4
CDL
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UBC
3 - 1
SFE
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |