Lucena vs Serrallo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ANT
2 - 1
LUC
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
DHE
38%
28%
34%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
LUC
3 - 1
SJO
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 1
LUC
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
SCF
63%
23%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Serrallo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
SCF
3 - 1
VVA
20%
28%
52%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
MON
3 - 3
SCF
48%
26%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
SCF
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SCF
1 - 0
BOL
33%
29%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
SCF
63%
23%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |