Lucena vs SD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 2
SEV
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
PON
3 - 0
LUC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 1
PON
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SDL
3 - 1
SDA
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
SDL
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
SDL
2 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
43%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SDL
1 - 0
SES
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 0
SDL
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |