Lucena vs La Roda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
SEV
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 3
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUC
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 2
BAL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Roda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 0
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ECI
2 - 0
ROD
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
ROD
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ROD
1 - 4
CAD
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
ROD
34%
28%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |