Lucena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IMP
1 - 0
LUC
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 1
ROQ
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
POL
2 - 1
LUC
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RJA
1 - 0
ECI
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SRQ
0 - 3
RJA
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 1
SEV
52%
28%
21%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
EST
1 - 2
RJA
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |