Lucena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
50.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 2
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
MER
1 - 1
LUC
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
AGU
21%
27%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 0
TAL
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 1
BAZ
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
1 - 0
RJA
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 1
ALC
53%
26%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |