Lucena vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
EME
3 - 2
LUC
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
LUC
1 - 3
EGA
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
COR
7 - 1
LUC
66%
18%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -3 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
RJA
2 - 0
REC
75%
14%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
RJA
8 - 0
MER
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1946 |
EME
1 - 3
RJA
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
LCF
3 - 2
RJA
39%
23%
38%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
RJA
3 - 1
LIN
79%
13%
9%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |