Lucena vs Puertollano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
AGD
3 - 0
LUC
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 1
CDL
27%
27%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
LUC
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 1
SFE
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
UBC
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 0
PUE
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 0
AGD
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CDL
1 - 0
PUE
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 0
SFE
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |