Lucena vs CD Pozoblanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
25.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 2
LUC
34%
27%
40%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
LUC
2 - 1
CDR
53%
27%
20%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LAP
2 - 2
LUC
38%
28%
35%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
30%
27%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 1
MON
55%
28%
18%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
CD Pozoblanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
POZ
1 - 0
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
MON
2 - 0
POZ
39%
29%
32%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
POZ
1 - 1
CRD
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
CAC
2 - 0
POZ
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
POZ
4 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |