Lucena vs El Palo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
6 - 0
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
SRQ
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 1
LUC
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
3 - 1
CPC
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
LUC
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
El Palo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
PAL
5 - 0
BAL
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 0
PAL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
PAL
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
PAL
4 - 0
SRQ
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SEV
1 - 0
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |