Lucena vs La Palma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
19.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
SRQ
1 - 2
LUC
28%
29%
43%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 0
SAN
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
SCF
0 - 4
LUC
16%
25%
59%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
POR
0 - 2
LUC
49%
27%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
LUC
0 - 1
CDR
46%
28%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
La Palma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
LAP
1 - 0
CDR
39%
27%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
ARC
1 - 1
LAP
49%
27%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
LAP
1 - 1
DHE
16%
24%
60%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
AYA
1 - 0
LAP
51%
26%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1999 |
LAP
1 - 0
CCF
36%
29%
35%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |