Lucena vs Nueva Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 1
SFE
28%
28%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
CCF
0 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 2
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 0
AGU
26%
29%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
NUE
4 - 0
CCF
48%
26%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
NUE
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
NUE
1 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AGU
1 - 0
NUE
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NUE
0 - 0
SOL
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |