Lucena vs Montilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
VVA
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 1
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 1
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
DHE
0 - 0
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SFE
5 - 0
LUC
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MON
4 - 1
SOL
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
VVA
1 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MON
1 - 2
COR
33%
28%
39%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SCF
2 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CRD
2 - 3
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |