Lucena vs Montilla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
VVA
1 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
LUC
0 - 0
JER
41%
26%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
RLI
0 - 2
LUC
14%
21%
65%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
LUC
1 - 0
UDT
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
SRQ
2 - 1
LUC
15%
24%
61%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
MON
2 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
VVA
33%
29%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
JER
0 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
MON
3 - 0
RLI
76%
17%
8%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
UDT
0 - 2
MON
26%
29%
46%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |