Lucena vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUC
30%
28%
41%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
5 - 0
ARR
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 1
SDL
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 2
SEV
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
ECI
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALB
3 - 2
MEL
51%
26%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
2 - 2
MEL
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CPC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 1
MEL
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |