Lucena vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
LUC
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROQ
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 2
CFB
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CPC
1 - 1
LUC
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
CPC
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 1
MEL
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
4 - 0
BET
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
SPO
72%
18%
9%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 0
MEL
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |