Lucena vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
3 - 2
SRQ
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 0
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 0
EST
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
LUC
54%
28%
19%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
CFB
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ECI
1 - 2
MEL
41%
29%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
GRA
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SRQ
2 - 1
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
BET
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |