Lucena vs Lorca Atlético CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 0
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 0
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 1
ULP
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
AGD
0 - 1
LUC
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
ECI
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 1
LOR
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 2
AGD
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
POL
2 - 2
LOR
71%
19%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LOR
1 - 0
BET
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |