Lucena vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
57%
27%
17%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
POL
13%
24%
63%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
LUC
62%
23%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 2
CAD
11%
21%
67%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BET
1 - 0
LUC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
PUE
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
AGD
1 - 1
BAL
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
0 - 1
CDL
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 0
BAL
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
SFE
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |