Lucena vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 0
LUC
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
LUC
3 - 0
JER
52%
27%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
AYA
1 - 1
LUC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
52%
26%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
LUC
4 - 1
COR
53%
26%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 1
BAR
35%
28%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
BAL
0 - 0
CRD
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 0
BAL
32%
28%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
52%
26%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 2
BAL
36%
28%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |