Lucena vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
COR
0 - 2
LUC
28%
28%
43%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LUC
1 - 0
BET
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
JER
0 - 1
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
LUC
1 - 0
ARC
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAL
0 - 0
PAL
49%
27%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
CRD
1 - 1
BAL
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
BAL
4 - 1
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 0
BAL
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAD
63%
23%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |