Lucena vs RB Linense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
NUE
1 - 1
LUC
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 0
VVA
29%
28%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 1
LUC
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LUC
1 - 1
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RB Linense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
2 - 1
VVA
38%
28%
34%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
SCF
0 - 2
BAL
38%
29%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
3 - 1
ANT
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
DHE
1 - 0
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BAL
1 - 3
SFE
44%
28%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |