Lucena vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CFB
2 - 2
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
53%
26%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 0
LUC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LUC
0 - 0
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 1
ECI
17%
24%
59%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SRQ
2 - 0
JUM
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 1
AGD
14%
23%
63%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
POL
1 - 0
JUM
75%
18%
7%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
JUM
0 - 3
BET
16%
24%
60%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |