Lucena vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ARC
4 - 1
LUC
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 1
SAN
35%
27%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAI
3 - 1
LUC
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SFE
1 - 1
LUC
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
28%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
JER
1 - 0
PAL
34%
28%
38%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CRD
2 - 3
JER
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
JER
3 - 2
BAR
23%
27%
50%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ARC
1 - 0
JER
58%
24%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
JER
0 - 5
CAD
30%
28%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -2 |